Tuesday, January 21, 2025

It's Official. America's New Dark Age Has Now Begun In Earnest.

Well, it's finally official.  America's new dark age has begun.  President Muskrat and his orange puppet and their cronies have taken over, and they basically hold all of the cards now that all three branches of the federal government are doing their bidding.  The ONE thing they lack is a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate, having less than 60 seats, but that is not much consolation.  Especially given how utterly obsequious practically everyone even remotely in Trump's orbit has been lately.  I mean, in the previous several months, Congress couldn't even manage to get the No Kings Act passed, which would have limited Trump's power.

Trump wasted no time with his executive pen on Days 1 and 2 of his second term.  From pardoning January 6th insurrectionists to cracking down at the border (and attempting mass deportations) to unconstitutionally attempting to end birthright citizenship (!) to pulling out of the Paris climate accords and pulling out of the WHO to rescinding many of Biden's executive orders, to so many other things.  Some of the things he is doing are already facing pushback and/or legal challenges which can tie things up for a while, while other things can have near-immediate impacts, mostly negative and often very negative indeed.  And other things are just plain silly, like him renaming the Gulf of Mexico the "Gulf of America", for example.

And they're just getting warmed up!

Oh, and by the way, did you see Muskrat giving...wait for it...what looked suspiciously like a Nazi salute (sorry, "Roman" salute), not once, but twice in a row to the innauseation crowd?  If it quacks like a duck....

(Remember, the road to fascism is invariably paved with, "Calm down, you're overreacting!", followed by, "Meh, I wasn't really using my civil rights anyway".)

January 20, 2025 will very likely go down in history as "the day that democracy died".  But to be brutally honest, it has been on life support for quite a while now, and now the plug has finally been pulled.  America has long been an oligarchy, and is now a full-blown plutocracy and kleptocracy without any semblance of shame or any attempt to disguise it any longer.  And with increasingly neo-fascist leanings too.

This is, sadly, to be expected in a society that has become so desensitized that it has clearly forgotten how to shudder.

One can only hope that it's always darkest before the dawn.  But after seeing so many false dawns in the past, that outlook has gotten rather, well, darker lately.

Winter is coming, in more ways than one.  The winter of our discontent, that is.  And actually, it's already here now. 

Saturday, January 11, 2025

State Of The Planet Address 2025

It is now 2025, and this year the TSAP will not waste any time giving our annual State of the Planet Address as we do every year.  Yes, we know it is a bit of a downer to say the least.  So sit down, take off your rose-colored glasses, and read on:

Our planet is in grave danger, and has been for quite some time now.  We face several serious long term problems:  climate change, deforestation, desertification, loss of biodiversity, overharvesting, energy crises, and of course pollution of many kinds.  Polar ice caps are melting.  Rainforests have been shrinking by 50 acres per minute.  Numerous species are going extinct every year.  Soil is eroding rapidly.  Food shortages have occurred in several countries in recent years.  Weather has been getting crazier each year thanks to climate change.  We have had numerous and often record-breaking wildfires, floods followed by long periods of drought, and a "storm of the century" at least once a year for the past several years.  And it is only getting worse every year.  In fact, 2024 is now officially the hottest year on record Look no further than the three record-breaking storms in the past 20 years:  Katrina (2005, highest storm surge), Sandy (2012, largest diameter), and then Harvey (2017, a 1000-year flood, and overall worst hurricane on record), followed by Irma and Maria which devastated Puerto Rico, for a taste of the not-too-distant future.  And that was before Hurricane Michael devastated a rather large chunk of Florida.  And the wild weather continues to this very day, with Hurricane Helene having recently ravaged Appalachia (which is typically spared hurricanes), and with the truly horrible and unprecedented Los Angeles wildfires still raging now being essentially a microcosm of what is to come to the world as a whole if we continue on this path of wanton planetary destruction.

None of this is an accident of course.  These problems are man-made, and their solutions must also begin and end with humans.  We cannot afford to sit idly by any longer, lest we face hell and high water in the not-too-distant future.  Our unsustainable scorched-earth policy towards the planet has to end.  Yesterday.

While we do not invoke the precautionary principle for all issues, we unequivocally do for the issue of climate change and any other environmental issues of comparable magnitude.  In fact, for something as dire as climate change, as of 2015 we now support a strong "no regrets" approach.  With no apologies to hardcore libertarians or paleoconservatives, in fact. We are not fazed one bit by the naysayers' pseudoscience as it does not really "debunk" the scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming. The only serious debate is about how fast it will happen, and when the tipping point (or points) will occur. It is not a matter of if, but when. And the less precarious position is to assume it is a real and urgent problem. We need to reduce CO2 emissions to the point where the CO2 concentration is at or below 350 ppm, ASAP.  And it is currently at an unsustainably high level of 400+ ppm, and growing rapidly every year.

Given the ominous IPCC report, which is truly nothing short of horrifying, the general consensus among climate scientists was that we had only at most 12 years left (now more like five) to act radically before truly catastrophic climate change is a foregone conclusion.  And 2030 will be here before we know it.  

Now THAT is a national emergency!  And a global one, in fact.  Thus, a full-steam-ahead, Green New Deal 2.0 is LONG overdue.  We have already squandered over a whole decade since Copenhagen, and we cannot afford to squander even one more day, let alone another decade.

Solving the problem of climate change will also help to solve the other ecological crises we are facing, for they all ultimately have the same root causes, not least of which is our insatiable addiction to dirty energy.  However, there is a right way to solve it, and several wrong ways.  Technology is important, but it won't be decisive on its own (economics geeks may recall Jevons Paradox).  The real problem is the paradigm that our society has been following, and that system is based on wetiko, the parasite of the mind and cancer of the soul.  It often seems that the only difference between capitalism and cannibalism is the spelling.

The TSAP endorses the ideas embodied in Steve Stoft's new book Carbonomics, most notably a tax-and-dividend system that would tax carbon (i.e. fossil fuels) at the source, and give all Americans an equal share of the revenue generated from this tax.  (Note that our proposal to tax natural resources and pay out an Alaska-like citizen's dividend already includes this.)  Yes, prices for various things would undoubtedly rise due to this tax, all else being equal, but the dividend will allow Americans to pay for this increase. The average American would in fact break even, but those who (directly or indirectly) use less energy than average will effectively pay less tax, while the energy hogs will effectively be taxed more, as they should be. Thus it is certainly not a regressive tax, and may even be mildly progressive. This is both the simplest and most equitable way to reduce carbon emissions as well as other forms of pollution, not to mention waste of dwindling non-renewable resources. The real challenge is getting the feds to accept something that won't directly benefit them (in the short term).  Carbonomics also includes other good ideas, such as improving how fuel economy standards are done, and crafting a better version of the Kyoto treaty.   It is worth noting that Canada has implemented a carbon tax similar to what Stoft advocated since 2019.

In addition to the ideas in Carbonomics, we also support several other measures to help us end our addiction to fossil fuels once and for all.  While our Great American Phase-Out plan would have phased out all fossil fuels by 2030 at the latest, via alternative energy, efficiency, and conservation, we unfortunately now see that as too ambitious in light of the disastrous "Net Zero" rollouts in the UK and Germany recently.  Another good idea to further the development of alternative energy would be the use of feed-in tariffs for renewable power sources. 

(We are now very behind schedule, so perhaps the best we could hope for is a phaseout by 2050, which may be too late.)

Of course, it is not enough to stop emitting carbon dioxide, we also need to remove the current excess levels of it from the atmosphere as well, as that stuff can otherwise linger for centuries and continue wreaking havoc on the climate.  We support ending net deforestation completely, planting a LOT more trees, and putting carbon back in the ground through carbon sequestration. One method is known as biochar, a type of charcoal made from plants that remove carbon dioxide from the air, that is subsequently buried. This is also an ancient method of soil fertilization and conservation, originally called terra preta.  It also helps preserve biodiversity.  Another crucial method would be regenerative organic farming, which also turns the soil into an effective carbon sink as well.  And we will most likely also need to employ higher-tech methods of sucking carbon out of the air as well.

We've said this before, and we'll say it again.  Our ultimate goal is 100% renewable energy by 2050, and as close as possible to that by 2030-2040, but we need to hedge our bets.  We can phase out fossil fuels, or we can phase out nuclear power, but we can't do both at the same time--and fossil fuels need to be phased out first, and quickly.  Nuclear is doing a pretty good job of phasing itself out as it is.  So let's not get rid of it prematurely.  

LENR (low energy nuclear reactors) and fusion power are also worth considering.

But the biggest elephant in the room (make that the elephant in the Volkswagen) is overpopulation.  It does not make for pleasant dinner conversation, but it must be addressed or else all other causes become lost causes in the long run. We, globally, need to have fewer kids, or nature will reduce our population for us, and the latter will NOT be pleasant to say the least. The TSAP believes in voluntarily reducing the total fertility rate (TFR) to 1.5-1.9 children per woman to do so, but let us be clear that we do NOT support draconian and/or coercive measures of population control (like China has used).  We believe that more liberty is the answer, not less.  In fact, the two most effective means of reducing the birthrate are poverty reduction and female empowerment.

Fortunately, America's TFR has recently dropped to a record low of about 1.6-1.7 with no indication of rising back above replacement rate in the near term.  And with the massive social and economic fallout from the pandemic and especially the lockdowns, the TFR may even drop further.  But clearly we cannot keep growing and growing, that's for sure (in fact, we need to shrink). And our insatiable addiction to economic growth (despite being decoupled from well-being) is also every bit as harmful as overpopulation as well, if not more so.  Growth for the sake of growth, the ideology of the cancer cell,  is clearly one of the most asinine obsessions our nation (and world) has ever had.  We clearly need to transition to a steady-state economy, most likely following a period of what Naomi Klein calls "selective degrowth" as well.  And to do that, we need a radical paradigm shift to happen yesterday.  Put another way, we need to leave room for Nature, lest Nature not leave room for us.  We have been warned, decades ago in fact.  Unfortunately, such warnings have largely fallen of deaf ears until very recently.

(NOTE:  Though the mainstream "fact-checkers" strongly deny it, of course, the novel experimental gene therapy jabs may very well be at least partly behind the drop in birthrates from 2021 to 2022, and if that is not reversible, is NOT really good news.  Time will tell.)

Yesterday is the time to jettison the Twin Big Lies that "everybody must work for a living" and "everybody must procreate".  Because doing so is the sine qua non of any realist plan to avert ecological catastrophe.

Last but not least, the TSAP now believes that as long as men remain in charge, we are all merely rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic.  Let's face it, it ain't gonna be us fellas who will save the world, as the past 7000 years or so have shown.  We paved paradise and put up a parking lot, we created a desert and called it peace.  We devoured and suffocated our own empire, and our proverbial 15 minutes of fame is almost up.  Only when women finally take over and reclaim their rightful position as the new leaders of the free world--and they will--will there be any real permanent solution.

Bottom line: we need to take the environment much more seriously than we do now.  We ignore it at our own peril.  And while the current administration in DC clearly doesn't care, We the People must act nonetheless.  With no apologies to the deniosaurs or Big Oil, Big Gas, or Dirty Coal.

Oh, by the way, wanna hear a joke?  Peak Oil.  Not saying it won't happen, of course--it will eventually peak and decline at some point--but climate change kinda supersedes it.  While conventional oil most likely has already peaked, there is more than enough total oil (including unconventional) to deep-fry the Earth--and most of which needs to stay in the ground if we wish to avoid catastrophic climate change.  Fossil fuels are, after all, what Buckminster Fuller referred to as our planet's "energy savings account", which we need to wean ourselves off of and save just in case of a planetary emergency--and he first said this in 1941!

So quibble all you want, but the truth must be faced head-on.  Hindsight is 2020, and we have a planet to save.  So let's roll!

P.S.:  We never thought we would ever have to say this, but the TSAP does NOT support a "climate lockdown" or any other type of lockdown for that matter.  It is at best a category error, and would do far more harm than good in the long run.  And of course it flies in the face of the basic principles of anything remotely resembling a free society.  So take that off the table now!  Same goes for forced economic degrowth, which will most likely get us permanently stuck in a bad place and still end up destroying the Earth regardless (albeit somewhat more slowly and in somewhat better taste, aka "flattening the Seneca curve").

It should also go without saying, but we at the TSAP DO NOT support the WEF "Great Reset", social credit scoring, or a cashless society (aka CBDC) either.  Those are a totalitarian's dream come true, and our worst nightmare come true for the rest of us.  We believe that the answer is MORE liberty and democracy, not less.

Let the planetary healing begin!



Thursday, January 9, 2025

Once Again, The Official COVID Narrative Goes Up In Flames

It's 2025 now, five full years after the "novel coronavirus" that became known as COVID-19 made its official debut.  Aside from a few dead-enders and true believers here and there, nearly everyone has long since moved on from the pandemic, which officially ended somewhere between the second half of 2022 and the end of the first half of 2023, depending on the country and whose source you follow.  

And just recently, a pair of new studies came out that were pretty damning indeed about practically everything that was done during the pandemic in terms of countermeasures.  That's in addition to all of the other studies we at the TSAP have cited over the years.

One new multi-country study found that school closures were basically useless or worse than useless, at least in the long run.  Specifically, they found no correlation between school reopenings during ether Delta or Omicron, and trends in adult Covid deaths and hospitalizations.  This is especially damning to the narrative because the biggest justification they had was that the school closures weren't to protect the kids themselves so much as to protect the adults around them, consequences to the kids themselves (and boy, were there plenty!) being a mere afterthought.  Thus, even on their very own Machiavellian and cold utilitarian terms of essentially using children and teens as human shields to protect adults, such medium- to long-term school closures have clearly been shown to be an EPIC FAIL, and need to be permanently removed from any serious consideration going forward.

Another study, this one in Japan (arguably the mask and jab champions of the world), found that the jabs were also quite counterproductive indeed in terms of contracting the virus.  That is, the odds of contracting Covid actually increased with the number of jab doses, which is negative efficacy.  Wow.  And adjusting for confounders only made this perverse correlation even stronger:

The odds of contracting COVID-19 were higher among vaccinated individuals compared to unvaccinated individuals, with an unadjusted OR of 1.65 (95% CI: 1.27-2.14, p < 0.001) and an adjusted OR of 1.85 (95% CI: 1.33-2.57, p < 0.001).

That explains how Japan, a country with one of the highest jab rates in the world, has had roughly a DOZEN waves (!) of the virus, give or take depending on who's counting, and how the biggest (and deadliest) waves of them all didn't come until AFTER the jabs.  Let that sink in.  Oops, maybe they should have thought of that possibility BEFORE bringing these jabs to market in the first place.

But wait, there's more!  That same Japanese study also looked at other behaviors as well.  As one Redditor, MembraneAnomaly, put it so well:

This bit is very interesting:

Preventive behaviors assessed included regular gargling, mask-wearing, bathing frequency, avoiding crowded places, room ventilation, eating habits, sleep patterns, exercise habits, and maintaining humidity in living spaces.

Behavioral analysis indicated that a reduced frequency of bathing and exercising was significantly associated with higher COVID-19 infection rates (p < 0.05).

Now look at the table under "Demographic characteristics" to find p-values for the association between reducing bathing and exercise and contracting COVID (0.016 and 0.01), compared to mask-wearing (0.644) and avoiding crowds (0.664). Nuff said! Stay healthy, exercise, keep clean - and dump the mask!

Great advice indeed, which is basically what used to be called common sense.  Which unfortunately, is not nearly as common as it should be.  (For those who are unfamiliar with what p-values mean, this means that the effect of masks, even in the land of mask champions, was statistically insignificant, indistinguishable from being due to chance.)

And just in case anyone cries "but source control!", the fact that Japan has still had a dozen or so waves even with all of that masking really puts the lie to that specious claim too.

So jabs and masks are also revealed once again to be useless, and in the case of the former, worse than useless.  Again, masking for the general population should also be permanently removed from any serious consideration going forward, and any vaccines in the future for any disease need to be properly designed and properly tested before we even THINK about unleashing them on the public, and certainly never forced or coerced in any way.

And just like with masks, we have already completely laid waste long ago to any case for lockdowns and business closures and and stuff like that as well.  Those were the easiest to debunk, in fact.  And again, going forward, those need to be removed from any serious consideration as well.

And so once again, like the song says, the official Covid narrative goes up in flames...in 24 frames.

(Mic drop)

UPDATE:  One of the very few bright spots in the new Trump regime is that RFK Jr. (if confirmed) would of course be a decent bulwark against this sort of thing happening again under his watch.  And while Trump himself is not exactly trustworthy, to put it mildly, he did begin the process of pulling the USA out of the World Health Organization.

Friday, January 3, 2025

R.I.P. Net Neutrality, Again

Well, it's official.  Net Neutrality has been struck down by the 6th Circuit US Court of Appeals on January 2, 2025.  While Big Tech, and Big Business in general, are celebrating this as a victory and salivating like a Pavlov's Dog, make no mistake, this is a major loss for We the People.  Now internet service providers can rig the internet in favor some people or entities over others via blocking access or varying speeds as "fast and slow lanes".  Gee, what could possibly go wrong?

(Meanwhile, at the same time, various vain and illiberal attempts to "childproof" the internet with mandatory age verification have met with varying degrees of legal success.)

2025 seems to be starting out on the wrong foot already, and of course the new dark age will begin in earnest on January 20, 2025 when Trump is re-inaugurated as President of the United States.  All with his puppet master Muskrat, the richest person in the world (and in literally all of recorded history) pulling his strings.  Grifters gonna graft, believe me.

We will admit, while we at the TSAP have always loathed Trump, a few years ago, we thought that Muskrat was a real-life Tony Stark.  Now it is obvious that he is more like Doctor Octopus on ketamine, only worse.  And Trump?  Well, he is more like Ganondorf, the villain from the Legend of Zelda series.  And the current moment in history is reminiscent of the part of Ocarina of Time when Ganondorf snuck in and took over, casting Hyrule into a new and horrible dark age.  Like Ganondorf, King Of Evil, Trump is the epitome of toxic masculinity, while Link the hero is the epitome of TONIC masculinity.  Unfortunately at this juncture in the real world, Link seems to be nowhere to be found these days, and Kamala Harris, the closest equivalent to Princess Zelda, will be out of power completely as VP on January 20.  

Buckle up, as we are in for a VERY wild ride!