Sunday, August 22, 2021
Afghanistan: A War We Lost Before The War Began (Part Deux)
Thursday, August 12, 2021
Afghanistan: A War We Lost Before The War Began
The headlines these days about Afghanistan have been quite sobering to say the least. It looks increasingly likely that this 20 year old quagmire of a war will end the same way as the Vietnam War did. "Operation Frequent Wind" certainly comes to mind, not least due to the frequent windbag politicians who got us into this inherently unwinnable mess that had literally no practical exit strategy to speak of.
Like Vietnam on crack, this is "a war we lost before the war began", as Phil Ochs put it in his song "White Boots Marching In A Yellow Land" about that other unwinnable quagmire. Afghanistan has been called "the graveyard of empires" for a reason, after all. The moment President Bush decided to force regime change in Afghanistan, as opposed to simply going in to fight al-Qaeda and bring Bin Laden to (rough) justice for 9/11, that was a "mission creep" that created a dangerous power vacuum and basically dug our graves over there. Yes, the Taliban were and still are backwards, brutal, violent, repressive, theocratic, misogynistic, and even totalitarian, but guess what? The Taliban was never really a material threat to the USA, and the local "allies" (read: warlords) of ours that de facto replaced them in nearly all of the country outside of Kabul have thus created a chaotic anocracy, which basically translates to "pick your poison". Eventually, Afghanistan even became fertile ground for ISIL for a time, who as we have seen is far more evil and dangerous than even the Taliban. And if and when the weak Kabul government and military finally rolls over and plays dead for the Taliban, remember: if they do it after 20 years, then no matter how long we stay, whether 10, 20, or even 100+ years, the end result would be the same regardless. At best, the USA only delayed the inevitable, at a massively unacceptable cost of blood and treasure.
Yes, in both of these wars, our troops technically won every single battle. But in the long run, as the famous quote says, "Yes, I know. It's also irrelevant."
So yes, the TSAP still, albeit with a heavy heart, fully supports America's troop withdrawal from Afghanistan. As a wise man once said recently, if Afghanistan falls to the Taliban after 20 years, it does not mean that we left too early, but that we left 19 years too late. It is tragic and heartbreaking indeed that it was basically all for naught, as the part about bringing al-Qaeda and Bin Laden to justice would not have required forced regime change in Afghanistan at all. Bin Laden was hiding out in Pakistan for most of the time, after all, and nearly all of the 19 hijackers on 9/11 were Saudi nationals. (That was of course memory-holed as quickly as Bin Laden's family members were surreptitiously whisked out of the country back to their home country, Saudi Arabia.)
We have said it before, and we will say it again. There is NO (Western) military solution in Afghanistan, period. Or Iraq, or Syria, or anywhere else in the region, basically. The closest thing there is to a solution would be for us to give every *woman* an AK-47 or M-16 and tell them to take over their country and mow down anyone who stands in their way. Let Allah sort it out. Problem solved. But the powers that be over here would of course not be too keen on that idea. After all they wouldn't want women in THIS country getting any ideas, now would they?
If and when the Taliban returns to their old tricks of brutal and misogynistic repression, then WOE to any cowardly Afghan men that fail to protect their women and children! And by rolling over for the forces of evil, they make a mockery of our troops as well.
The best way to support our troops is to bring them home alive, and stop abusing them in these unnecessary quagmires of choice that really only benefit the oligarchs. The best time to do it was 20 years ago. The second best time to do it is right now.
UPDATE: On August 15th, the capital Kabul has effectively fallen to the Taliban, and President Ghani has fled the country in fear as his own troops basically rolled over and played dead. This highly unfortunate turn of events has happened at a much faster pace than anyone had predicted. But the hypocrisy of those Republicans who blame President Biden for this sad state of affairs is quite rich considering that Biden not only followed the very same troop withdrawal plan set by Trump himself, but actually pushed back Trump's withdrawal deadline by nearly four months. Yes, really. Like Vietnam, as the saying goes, America may have won every battle, but in the end, that's also irrelevant.
I mean, you KNOW it's bad when Ron Paul (and/or his son Rand Paul) comes across as the voice of reason! And whether you love him or hate him, it is clear that throughout all 20 years of this ill-fated war of (mostly) choice, while both Democrats and Republicans alike would mindlessly flip and flop around, Paul has basically been on the right side of history all along.
Getting out of Afghanistan is the ONE thing that Trump, Biden, Bernie Sanders, and Ron/Rand Paul could ALL agree on. Even if Trump denies it now.
And finally, as for America's very clear moral obligation to the Afghan people that we would otherwise leave behind, we believe Emma Lazarus said it best: "Give me your tired, your poor, your huddled masses yearning to breathe free...I lift my lamp beside the golden door." In other words, "refugees welcome". The Kabul airport must be secured now to allow safe passage out of the country. Beyond that, after the current evacuations and rescue operations are complete, that is it. It's over.
After 20 years of this infernal quagmire, C'EST FINI!
As the late, great Major General Smedley Butler famously said, "TO HELL WITH WAR!"
Wednesday, October 9, 2019
Trump's Syria Withdrawal Is Reckless And Treacherous, But...
We at the TSAP thus condemn Trump's withdrawal for the way he is doing it and the timing of it. But...
That said, sometimes even a stopped clock can be right twice a day. As we have noted time and time again, we need to get the hell out of out of not just Syria, but also the decades-long quagmires of Iraq and Afghanistan, the latter of which is longer than Vietnam at this point. ISIL, though clearly still in existence as a terrorist group (kinda like al-Qaeda and the Taliban, etc.) is nonetheless defeated territorially compared to 2014. Time for other countries/actors to step up to the plate and do whatever remains of the heavy lifting now. Long past time for that, in fact.
And we also need to stop suborning Saudi Arabia’s unconscionable mass-murdering proxy war in Yemen as well (though Trump seems cool with that for now).
"Endless war" is NOT a sustainable strategy. In fact, it is not even a strategy at all, but a concept, and an absurd one at that. The only people who benefit from it are the oligarchs and the military-industrial complex, as the late Maj. Gen. Smedley Butler once famously noted in his 1935 book War Is A Racket. (Of course, WWII was the exception that proves the rule.)
For Iraq and Afghanistan, we need to get out yesterday. For Syria, it is more nuanced and complicated thanks to Turkey's latest incursion into Syria, and of course what that means for the Kurds (spoiler alert: it isn't good). Thus, being a bit less hasty with withdrawing the 1000 or so troops in Syria specifically would probably be the least-worst idea right now. And in all of these countries, a post-withdrawal Marshall Plan would also be a good idea as well to help deal with the aftermath.
Like the song says, if we go it will be trouble, if we stay it will be double. And those who fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.
UPDATE: Just 24 hours after he recklessly shunted troops to the side in Syria (he didn't actually remove them yet from Syria, but plans to) to pave the way for the Turks to invade and slaughter the Kurds (which they are apparently doing right now), he ordered 1800 troops to Saudi Arabia, because reasons, perhaps to provoke Iran. This man is extremely dangerous right now, amd clearly unfit for command even as dogcatcher, let alone President of the United States.
Friday, December 21, 2018
Why We (Partly) Agree With Trump on Syria (and Afghanistan)
That said, sometimes even a stopped clock is right twice a day. As we have noted time and time again, we need to get the hell out of out of not just Syria, but also the decades-long quagmires of Iraq and Afghanistan, the latter of which is longer than Vietnam at this point. ISIL, though still in existence as a terrorist group (kinda like al-Qaeda and the Taliban, etc.) is nonetheless defeated territorially compared to 2014. Time for other countries/actors to step up to the plate and do whatever remains of the heavy lifting now. Long past time for that, in fact.
And we also need to stop suborning Saudi Arabia’s unconscionable mass-murdering proxy war in Yemen as well (though Trump seems cool with that for now).
"Endless war" is NOT a sustainable strategy. In fact, it is not even a strategy at all, but a concept, and an absurd one at that. The only people who benefit from it are the oligarchs and the military-industrial complex, as the late Maj. Gen. Smedley Butler once famously noted in his 1935 book War Is A Racket. (Of course, WWII was the exception that proves the rule.)
Look, we dig why the generals don't want to pull out anytime soon, especially not abruptly, and it's not just about job security either (though that is likely part of it too). No one wants it on their conscience if things go horribly wrong afterwards, and such consequences can in any way be linked (however tangentially and speciously) to such a withdrawal. But Trump clearly has no conscience, and it was his decision, so we now get to let any potential adverse consequences weigh on his nonexistent conscience. Thus, the generals should really see this as a golden window of opportunity to finally extricate ourselves from the quagmire of the Middle East wars--and even in a worst case scenario, everyone's hands will be clean but Trump's either way. So what are we waiting for?
Like the song says, if we go it will be trouble, if we stay it will be double. And those who fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.
JANUARY 2019 UPDATE: Looks like the other notorious loose cannon of foreign policy, neocon John Bolton, is trying to delay the Syria pullout by "months or years". So much for that. In the meantime, is always fun for genuine progressives like us to watch neocons, neoliberals, neoconfederates, and Trump supporters fighting against each other.
Saturday, April 7, 2018
Quagmire Accomplished, 15 Years Later
The moral of the story: Wars have consequences, often serious and far-reaching ones. So going to war should NEVER be done unless absolutely necessary, and certainly not willy-nilly. Unnecessary wars of choice create terrorists faster than we can kill them. And whether it's a "wham, bam, thank you ma'am" sort of war like Libya or a decade(s)-long quagmire like Vietnam, Iraq, or Afghanistan, the end result is ultimately the same sort of disastrous failed state that becomes a magnet for extremists. And once it becomes Quagmire Accomplished, whether we leave now, a year from now, ten years from now, or 100 years from now, the result on the affected nation(s) we invade and subsequently leave is basically the same. Quick withdrawal is thus the lesser evil.
In fact, Tom Englehardt (Tom Dispatch) and Peter van Buren had the best idea of all--quick withdrawal, after getting ISIL where it really hurts by taking out their OIL. Such targets--wellheads and oil trucks--are not at all hard to find, and are fairly easy to take out from the air. And put diplomatic and economic pressure on Turkey and other so-called "allies" to stem the flow of Daesh oil as well. Because oil is their primary source of funding, and removing that will cause them to quickly collapse of their own weight, and when they are seen as a failure then few would want to join them. And once we take it out, then GTFO and let Daesh fall on their own sword. (And apparently, we ended up doing a modest version of exactly that sort of oil campaign, with a fair amount of success, albeit late in the game and minus the withdrawal.)
The TSAP agrees with that idea, and we would also like to add to that. Before withdrawing, we should give every *woman* over there an AK-47 and tell them to take over their country and mow down anyone who stands in their way. Let Allah sort it out. Problem solved. But of course, the mostly-male powers that be would not be too keen on that idea. After all, they wouldn't want women in THIS country getting any ideas, now would they? (Of course, the TSAP believes that women should indeed take over the world in order to save it, so that wouldn't really be a bad idea, come to think of it.)
Honestly, it is certainly a better idea than arming questionable male "rebels" who end up turning traitor. VIVE LA FEMME!
Monday, December 7, 2015
Two Minutes To Midnight
Meanwhile, rich war profiteers of the mercenary-industrial complex (MIC) are literally making a killing off of it all. Like the song says, the golden goose is on the loose, and it's never out of season. Major General Smedley Butler wrote an excellent book about it back in 1935, War Is A Racket, that should be required reading for everyone and would seem to apply a fortiori to our time. The profiteers/racketeers and their sycophantic lackeys in government keep on pushing for more and more American military involvement in Iraq, Syria, and other countries, when it is clear that America's meddling essentially created Daesh in the first place. In fact, not only did the 2003 invasion of Iraq pave the way for the current crisis by destabilizing Iraq, but the USA had also been arming various "rebel" groups in Syria in the hopes of toppling Assad. And many of those "rebels" turned traitor and joined al-Qaeda and what would become Daesh as well. It is exceedingly likely that the oligarchs did so deliberately in order to further their Machiavellian machinations.
The time to end all of this insanity and evil is yesterday. The TSAP hereby proposes a law be passed that we call the War Pigs Act, named after both the ineffectual War Powers Resolution of 1973 and the Black Sabbath song War Pigs. The first part of the new law would put some teeth in the War Powers Act by closing the loopholes and holding the President liable for any consequences of a war that is not authorized by Congress and is not during a state of emergency caused by an attack on the USA. And absent a formal declaration of war by Congress, absolutely no war may last beyond 90 days (60 days followed by a 30 day withdrawal), save for a temporary authorization of force that expires 90 days after the authorization passes or 180 days after the war began, whichever occurs first. After that, the must be a formal declaration of war, or the war must end. Period. The second part of the law would implement some of Maj. Gen. Butler's recommendations from his book, taking into account that we currently have an all-volunteer military. Take the profit out of war, first of all. And for any war lasting beyond six months (which by definition would now require a formal declaration of war), require an annual limited plebiscite of all citizens that would be eligible for military service. Make it a non-secret ballot such that those who vote "yes" would be drafted if we run out of volunteers, followed by those who abstain from the vote if necessary. Those who vote "no" would be exempt from any such draft. A kind of "consensual conscription", if you will. We would all have skin in the game. Women would be included as well, but before they draft the very first woman, we should draft men in their 40s and 50s first. The demographic group who starts the wars but rarely fights. It's only fair, right fellas?
Watch as war becomes a thing of the past. As Maj. Gen. Smedley Butler said, "TO HELL WITH WAR!"
Monday, December 29, 2014
War is Over, If You Want It
This withdrawal is LONG overdue, about 13 years overdue to be precise. All of those who claim that we are pulling out "prematurely" are clearly deluded if they think that staying any longer will really solve anything. That ship has already sailed, and this war (like all of the others we are engaged in) is simply no longer sustainable. In fact, we need to end ALL of our wars and withdraw ALL of our troops yesterday, as war itself is no longer a sustainable activity, if it ever really was. Let other countries fight their own battles for once, and stop being the 21st century Rome of the world unless we wish to suffer a similar fate.
Honestly, there really is only one solution in that part of the world, and we are only half-joking about this one. Give every woman over there an AK-47 and tell them to take over their countries and mow down anyone who stands in their way. Let Allah sort it out. Problem solved. But of course, none of the powers that be over here would be too keen on that. After all, they wouldn't want women in THIS country getting any ideas, now would they? Though replacing all of our current Big Wetiko "leaders" with women would really not be a bad idea at all, come to think of it. Perhaps then the USA would not be so eager to continue on our omnicidal path of endless war and imperialism, which let's face it, is fundamentally a "guy thing".
As John Lennon and Yoko Ono once sang, "war is over, if you want it". It's long past time to give peace a chance.
Thursday, August 21, 2014
A Modest Proposal for the Middle East
But since President Obama has already begun the airstrikes, the TSAP hereby makes the following modest proposal to him:
1) First, take the War Powers Act extremely literally for once, and draw a line in the sand that we will completely abort the bombing mission after 90 days (if not sooner), no ifs ands or buts about it. No escalation either, and certainly no boots on the ground. After that, the Iraqis are completely on their own, period.
2) Pull all troops out of Afghanistan by the end of 2014, like you promised.
3) Stop supporting Israel's genocide (yes, that's what it really is) of the Palestinians, and pressure them to end the occupation of Gaza and the West Bank and implement a two-state solution. For the Golan Heights, leave it up to the residents.
4) Cut the "defense" spending by half, establish a Department of Peace, and set up a sort of "Marshall Plan" for the Middle East region using a portion of the money saved. And perhaps do these things as well, which certainly couldn't hurt.
5) Finally, and we are only half-joking about this: when we finish "playing exterminator" and pull out of Iraq, Afghanistan, etc., we should give every woman over there an AK-47 and tell them to take over their country and mow down anyone who stands in their way. Let Allah sort it out. But of course, the powers that be over here would never support that. After all, they wouldn't want women in this country getting any ideas, now would they? (Actually, replacing all of our Big Wetiko "leaders" with women wouldn't be a bad idea, but that's a topic for another discussion)
But hey, what do we know? We're just the 800-lb gorilla (or is that guerrilla?) in the room.
Monday, June 2, 2014
What to Do about Afghanistan?
Though far less than the roughly 100,000 troops at the peak years of 2010-2012, leaving nearly ten thousand troops in Afghanistan after 2014 seems rather pointless. All that would do is leave our troops in harm's way without actually providing a significant amount of security. It's better to rip the band-aid off quickly rather than slowly. We already got Bin Laden and over 80% of the high-ranking Al-Qaeda members years ago, so why are we still there? Yes, there is indeed a high risk that the Taliban will take over once again, but that will likely happen regardless of whether we pull out now or 10, 20, or 100 years from now. Thirteen years of war and occupation is more than enough, and indeed it has been America's longest war, even longer than Vietnam.
Let's face it, Afghanistan is basically a lost cause at this point. Alexander the Great, Genghis Khan, the Persians, the British Empire, the Soviet Union, and now the American Empire have all learned the hard way that such a country simply cannot be conquered for long. So let's make good on our promise to pull out this year. And when we do so, the TSAP has a great idea to keep the Taliban and other forces of evil at bay, and we are only half-joking about this one. Upon leaving, our troops should give every Afghan woman an AK-47 or M-16 and tell them to take over their country, and mow down anyone who stands in their way. And given the deplorable way that women have been treated over there for thousands of years, the powder keg will finally blow. Of course, the powers that be in the USA would never want to do that, absolutely not. After all, they wouldn't want women in this country getting any ideas, now would they?
Tuesday, December 1, 2009
Sure, the Afghanistan surge will be a success.....Just ask Alexander the Great, Genghis Khan, the British, or the Russians.
Perhaps if Bush had NOT gone into Iraq and instead sent more troops to Afghanistan, we would have had a chance at winning (albeit a slim one). The side show became the main attraction, and Bush dropped the ball big time. Everything since then has been mere damage control. Or maybe the whole ordeal could have been avoided, and thousands of lives not lost, if we had simply prevented 9/11 (it could have been done). Was it really worth it to invade Afghanistan in the first place? The drug lords sure think so. And the terrorists benefited from the creation of a failed state, as well as a destabilized Pakistan. And the body count of civilians has been staggering.
And what did the American people get out of the deal? Debt! Our national debt is now pushing $12 TRILLION dollars, and the value of the dollar is falling. Gold is $1200 per ounce now, and rising. And so is oil. How we will extricate ourselves (while the current leadership is in power), I really don't know.
If Alexander the Great, Genghis Khan, the British Empire, and the Soviet Union couldn't do it, what makes Obama think he can?